Capital Markets: Observations & Insights
Business Spending Boost - Autumn 2017
Capital Markets: Observations and Insights Business Spending Boost Autumn 2017
The Earnings Stream
Money often flows like a river, cascading and meandering throughout the economy. In certain areas it picks up speed and intensity while in other places it slows to a trickle. This past spring, we wrote about an earnings resurgence in which corporate profits were set to rise strongly after a two year drought. Earnings growth has indeed been robust, registering the first consecutive quarters of double-digit gains in many years (since 2011). That earnings stream is now set to flow down to business spending. When corporate cash flows accelerate, so too do investments in areas such as intellectual property, advertising, and equipment. Ultimately, the cash will flow to employees in the form of higher wages but first it is business expenditure that will swell. Investors looking for growth may want to position for a potential torrent of business
spending. Sincerely,
Daniel C. Chung, CFA Chief Executive Officer Chief Investment Officer
Brad Neuman, CFA Senior Vice President Client Investment Strategist
Page 1
Key Observations
• Business spending is set to accelerate and outpace the broader economy, given an earnings resurgence, strengthening business confidence, and potential tax cuts • Growth equity fundamentals have outpaced those of Value stocks , driving performance results • Leading indicators suggest that economic growth and corporate profits will continue to expand
Table of Contents
Business Spending Boost Performance Fundamentals Valuation
Pages 3-7 Pages 8-16 Pages 17-24 Pages 25-29
Page 2
Earnings Resurgence = Business Spending Acceleration Business Spending Boost
• After a two-year earnings recession, S&P 500 profits are growing strongly • Robust profit growth typically leads to higher business spending
…Implies Acceleration in Business Spending
Strong Relationship…
S&P 500 EPS
Business Spending
S&P 500 EPS
Business Spending
140
20%
2,000
120
15%
100
Forecasted
10%
1,500
$ Billions
80
5%
60
$ EPS
0%
1,000
40
-5% Year-over-Year Change
20
-10%
0
500
1996
1997
1998
1999
2001
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2011
2012
2013
2014
2016
2017
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Source: FactSet and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis as of 9/30/17. EPS is last 12 months. EPS forecast is based on bottom-up consensus estimates. Actual earnings per share might be materially different than shown. Business spending is U.S. private fixed nonresidential equipment and intellectual property expenditures.
Page 3
Less Regulation Is Good for Business Business Spending Boost
• Lower regulation is improving business confidence ‒ Regulation has gone from being the single most important problem in small businesses to being the third (behind taxes and quality of labor) ‒ In the past decade, new regulations have required 681 million hours of paperwork at a cost of $1.0 trillion, while year-to-date required paperwork has been reduced by more than 23 million hours
Business Confidence
Federal Rules
100 102 104 106 108 110
2,400
Final & Proposed Rules per Year
High Regulation
High Confidence
Recent decline in Federal rules strengthened business confidence
2,200
2,000
90 92 94 96 98
1,800
Low Confidence
Confidence Index
Low Regulation
1,600
1,400
Jun-16
Jun-17
Mar-16
Mar-17
Sep-16
Dec-16
Source: FactSet and George Washington University as of 9/30/17. Business confidence is NFIB Optimism Index and Federal Rules data is from Unified Agenda of Regulatory Actions. Small business concerns according to NFIB Economic Trends survey August 2017 vs. July 2016. Cost of regulations from American Action Forum.
Page 4
Confidence Is Critical for Spending Business Spending Boost
• CEO confidence tends to lead business spending by 6-12 months • Strengthening business confidence indicates higher corporate spending
CEO Confidence
Business Spending
90
30%
Estimated
80
20%
70
Y-ear-over-Year Change
Increase in CEO confidence bodes well for business spending
60
10%
50
0%
40
30
-10%
Confidence Index
20
-20%
10
-30%
0
1981
1982
1983
1984
1986
1987
1988
1989
1991
1992
1993
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2001
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2011
2012
2013
2014
2016
2017
2018
Source: FactSet, U.S. Conference Board and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis as of 9/30/17. Business spending is U.S. private fixed nonresidential equipment and intellectual property expenditures. Estimate based on regression of confidence and business spending.
Page 5
Business Spending Boost
Tax Cut Would Likely Boost Business Spending
• Lower corporate tax rates increase in enterprise cash flow higher business spending ‒ The Tax Foundation’s analysis of the Trump campaign plan suggested that wages would rise 6% but capital stock, i.e. business spending, would be 24% higher
Impact of Trump Campaign Plan Relative to Baseline (Over a Decade)
The GOP’s September 2017 tax “blueprint” is similar to the Trump campaign’s original tax plan
24%
6%
Consumer
Business
Source: Tax Foundation. “Consumer” is wages and “Business” is capital stock.
Page 6
Business Spending Boost
Business Spending May Lift Productivity
• Stronger business spending should drive innovation as businesses have more cash to deploy to research and development and capital expenditures • Historically, increases in business spending lead to higher productivity
Capital Intensity vs. Labor Productivity (1988-2016)
R 2 = 0.64
10.0
= Year
8.0
6.0
Higher business spending leads to higher productivity
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0 % Increase in Business Spending
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
% Increase in Productivity
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Note: “Business Spending” is Capital Intensity and “Productivity” is Labor Productivity which is advanced one year
Page 7
Growth Sectors Are Leading YTD Performance
• As investors refocused on growth and current fundamentals, growth-oriented sectors outperformed year-to-date
3Q17 Returns (%)
2017 YTD Returns (%)
Growth-Oriented Sectors
10
10 15 20 25 30 35
8
U.S.
World
U.S.
World
6
4
2
0 5
0
-10 -5
-2
Real Estate
Real Estate
Energy
Health Care Utilities
Energy
Utilities
Telecom
Materials
Telecom
Materials
Financials
Industrials
Financials
Industrials
Technology
Technology
Health Care
Consumer Staples
Consumer Staples
Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Discretionary
Source: FactSet as of 9/30/17. U.S. represented by S&P 500 and World is represented by MSCI All Country World Index (USD).
Page 8
Scale and Growth Rewarded Performance
• Characteristics of large secular growth stocks have done best this year, while last year’s leader, dividend yield, underperformed
2017 YTD Excess Return (%)
3Q17 Excess Return (%)
1.2
1.7
0.8
1.0 0.8
0.4
0.0
0.4 0.3 0.0
0.0
-0.8 -0.8
-0.4 -0.6 -0.6
-1.2 -1.3 -1.5
-1.2
-2.6
-3.1
Market Cap
Market Cap
Book / Price
Book / Price
EPS Growth
EPS Growth
Debt / Equity
Debt / Equity
Price Volatility
Price Volatility
Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield
Trading Activity
Trading Activity
Earnings / Price
Revenue / Price
Earnings / Price
Revenue / Price
Relative Strength
Relative Strength
Earnings Variability
Earnings Variability
Source: FactSet as of 9/30/17 using Northfield defined quantitative factors for the Northfield broad U.S. market database.
Page 9
Performance
Prices and Fundamentals Converge
• Last year, stock prices and fundamentals diverged as investors positioned for perceived changes following the U.S. presidential election • This year fundamentals took center stage again, which has been reflected in stock prices
Growth Relative to Value
110.0
Stock Prices
Fundamentals
Convergence
105.0
Disconnect
100.0
95.0
90.0
Jul-16
Jul-17
Oct-16
Apr-17
Jun-16
Jan-17
Jun-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Aug-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Aug-17
Sep-17
May-17
Source: FactSet as of 9/30/2017. S&P 500 Growth and Value Indices used to represent Growth and Value stocks. Fundamentals are LTM EPS.
Page 10
Earnings Drove Sector Performance YTD Performance
• In contrast to much of last year, this year sectors with the strongest earnings performance YTD had the best stock performance
Leading Price & EPS Performance
10 15 20 25 30
100
% Companies Beating Estimates
80
60
40
0 5
S&P 500 Sector
Returns YTD (%)
20
-10 -5
0
Real Estate
Energy
Utilities
Telecom
S&P 500
Materials
Financials
Industrials
Technology
Health Care
Consumer Staples
Consumer Discretionary
Source: FactSet as of 930/2017. Companies beating estimates based on average of earnings seasons reported in 2017: Q416, 1Q17, and 2Q17.
Page 11
The Earnings Growth Resurgence Is Boosting Performance Performance
Total Return = Dividend Yield + EPS Growth +/- P/E Change
MSCI All Country World Index ex-USA
S&P 500
Dividend
EPS Growth*
P/E Change
Dividend
EPS Growth*
P/E Change
10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
10% 15% 20% 25%
0% 5%
0% 5%
EPS Growth Reversal
-20% -15% -10% -5%
EPS Growth Reversal
-15% -10% -5%
Sep-11 Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16 Sep-17
Sep-11 Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16 Sep-17
12- Month Total Return:
12- Month Total Return:
1% 30% 19% 20% -1% 15% 19%
-10% 14% 21% 11% -1% 7% 20%
Source: FactSet as of 9/30/17. *Based on consensus estimates of next 12-month EPS. Actual earnings per share might be materially different than shown. MSCI ACWI ex-US performance based on local currency.
Page 12
Performance
Bull Market Is Aging Well
• Bull markets have been getting longer over time ‒ Factors prolonging economic expansions include: increased fiscal and monetary intervention, structural changes in the economy, and technological advances such as improved inventory management ‒ The current bull market is 3.75 years younger than the 1990s bull market
14
2010-Current Average: ?? Years
12
1980-2010 Average: 7.2 Years
10
1950-1980 Average: 4.3 Years
Current Bull Market (ongoing)
8
1930-1950 Average: 1.7 Years
6
4
Duration of Bull Market (Years)
2
0
1932
1943
1954
1965
1976
1987
1998
2009
2020
Year that Bull Market Ended
Source: FactSet and Goldman Sachs as of 9/30/2017. Bull markets over 6-months in duration since 1930.
Page 13
Performance
Has Active Relative Performance Troughed?
• While there are secular pressures affecting U.S. active management, cyclical factors tend to be much more powerful in the short term, such as ‒ interest rates/bond-like equities ‒ small cap performance
‒ overall market performance ‒ non-U.S. stock performance
Active Relative Performance Is Cyclical
54% of large cap managers have outperformed their style benchmark year-to-date
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
% of Fund Assets Outperforming
0%
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
Source: Nomura/Instinet, Joseph Mezrich and FactSet through 9/30/17. Fund performance is trailing 5-year data. Year-to-date active performance from Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Page 14
Small Caps Due for a Comeback Performance
• Small caps have had very weak year-to-date performance—one of the worst 9-month periods in the past decade—in stark contrast to their historic outperformance* • Taken together, these data points may imply small caps are poised for a comeback ‒ After underperforming by this much, small caps have outperformed by over 300bps in the following 12-month period, on average, over the past decade
S&P Small Cap Performance Relative to S&P Large Cap (rolling 9-months)
S&P Small Cap
S&P Large Cap
1,500
9% Annual Return
- 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
1,000
500
7% Annual Return
0
-500
Basis Points
-1,000
-1,500
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: FactSet as of 9/30/17. *Data from Ibbotson/Morningstar shows small caps have outperformed large caps by 189bps annually 1925-2016.
Page 15
Performance
Structural Issues Driving Growth vs. Value
• Growth stocks have dramatically outperformed Value stocks—35%—over the past decade • The culprit for value investors has been very weak performance in buying low P/B stocks, while P/E strategies have fared much better • Book value may no longer be as relevant given changing business models, e.g., R&D is not capitalized in book value
110
P/E
100
P/B, not P/E, has driven Value underperformance
90
80
P/B Russell 1000 Value / Growth
70
60
40 2017 Total Return Index Source: FactSet as of 9/30/17. Price-to-earnings and price-to-book returns are based on the E/P and B/P Northfield factors for the Northfield broad U.S. market database. 50 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Page 16
Leading Cycle Indicators Are Benign Fundamentals
• Every major recession in the past 75 years has been preceded by substantial Fed Funds rate tightening or inflation acceleration, or both • We believe the Fed can be patient given forces weighing on inflation including innovation (price transparency), labor dynamics (retirees), and globalization
Recession
Fed Funds Effective Rate
Inflation
10 12 14 16 18 20
Today, short-term interest rates and inflation are both less than 2%
-2 0 2 4 6 8
1966
1969
1972
1975
1978
1981
1984
1987
1990
1993
1996
1999
2002
2005
2008
2011
2014
2017
Source: FactSet as of September 2017. Inflation represented by PCE Price Index ex-food and energy (year over year).
Page 17
A Slow Fed Keeps Away the Red? Fundamentals
• On average, the U.S. has not entered a recession until about three years after material Fed tightening • But the Fed is tightening much more slowly than it has historically
Fed Has Been Tightening Very Slowly (Basis Points per Month)
25
20
18
17
16
15
5
'83-84 (16 months)
'86-89 (27 months)
'94-95 (12 months)
'99-00 (11 months)
'04-06 (24 months)
Average (18 months)
'15-Current (22 months)
Source: FactSet and J.P. Morgan as of 9/30/2017.
Page 18
Fundamentals
Leading Indicators Suggest Earnings Will Continue to Rise
• The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) typically leads earnings by 6-18 months and usually peaks one to two years prior to a recession • Given that the LEI is increasing solidly year-over-year and hit a record high in 3Q17, we believe the economy and earnings have room to run
130
Leading Economic Index indicates further EPS growth
$150
120
$130
18 Month Lead
S&P 500 EPS
110
$110
100
$90
90
$70
Leading Economic Index
80
$50
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: FactSet, Conference Board as of September 2017. Based on NTM EPS estimates.
Page 19
Economic Outlook Fundamentals
Tailwinds
• Strong business and consumer confidence • Solid U.S. consumer balance sheet
• Robust corporate profits • Potential fiscal stimulus
Headwinds
• Tightening monetary policy • Rising U.S. labor costs • China debt levels • Political risk
Page 20
Smaller Capitalization Stocks Poised to Outperform Fundamentals
• Stronger fundamentals : Estimated EPS growth for 2018 more than double that of large cap • More levered to fiscal stimulus : Small caps are more U.S.-oriented and have higher operating leverage • Rising interest rates : Small caps have historically outperformed large caps in rising rate environments and vice versa in falling rate environments • Attractive valuation : Small cap sales multiple discount implies opportunity
Earnings Per Share
Enterprise Value / Sales R2000 / R1000
-35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0%
R2000
R1000
100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
Historically Large Discount
Small Caps Growing Faster
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Source: FactSet as of September 2017. EPS for 2017-2018 are consensus estimates and actual earnings per share might be materially different than shown.
Page 21
Fundamentals
Innovative Companies Grow Earnings and Stock Prices Faster
• Innovation propels economic growth over time ‒ Studies have shown, and our research demonstrates, that the most innovative companies grow their sales, earnings, and stock prices faster*
Innovation Drives:
EPS Growth…
and
…Stock Prices
9%
400
Most Innovative
300
5%
200
Least Innovative
100
Est. EPS Growth 2007-2017
-
Most Innovative
Least Innovative
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: FactSet. Most/least innovative based on R&D % of sales. Est EPS growth July 2007- July 2017 measured after classification of S&P 1500 companies into innovation quintiles in Dec. 06. Most/least innovative stock performance based on S&P 1500 quintiles one month returns for same time period, normalized for market value. * Baruch Lev and Suresh Radhakrishnan, “The Stock Market Valuation of R&D Leaders.” Page 22
Speed of Innovation Is Accelerating Fundamentals
• Innovations are penetrating U.S. markets at an even faster pace ‒ “Growth” stocks should benefit from innovation while “value” stocks that appear cheap may simply be victims of change
Years from Market Entry to 50% Penetration in the U.S.
The faster speed of innovation may be exacerbating the disparity between growth and value fundamentals
120 160 200
0 40 80
Dishwasher - 1924 Air Con. - 1933 TV - 1936
PC - 1974
VCR - 1965
ATM - 1969
Stove - 1750
Radio - 1897
MP3 Player - 1998 Social Media - 2004
Wash. Mach. - 1904
Telephone - 1880 Roads - 1880
Internet - 1989
Railroad - 1830
Hospitals - 1776
Cable TV - 1950
Air Travel - 1914
Microwave - 1967
Steam ship - 1810
Newspaper - 1704
Credit Card - 1950
Smartphone - 1996
Second. Sch. - 1810
Electric power - 1882
Source: Asymco.
Page 23
Fundamentals
The Growth Advantage
• Three variables drive P/E multiples: growth, returns, and risk • As compared to the Russell 1000 Value, the Russell 1000 Growth has higher expected EPS growth, higher returns on equity, and lower risk in the form of better balance sheets
Stronger Growth
Higher Returns
Lower Risk
R1000G R1000V
R1000G R1000V
R1000G R1000V
14.7%
25.2%
2.5x
9.2%
1.3x
10.1%
Long-Term EPS Growth
Return on Equity
Net Debt / EBITDA
Source: FactSet as of September 2017. Growth represents consensus long-term analyst estimates, and actual future EPS growth rates might be materially different than the forecasts shown. Page 24
The Great Rotation Valuation
• Moving from monetary stimulus and quantitative easing to fiscal stimulus and increased deficits should drive a Great Rotation from bonds to stocks • The magnitude of the rotation will be fueled by the valuation disparity between equities and bonds, which are expensive by comparison ‒ The earnings yield for equities is more than 300 bps greater than 10-year Treasury notes vs. a 60 bps median over the past half-century
Equity vs. Bond “Yields”
S&P 500 EPS Yield
Treasury Bond Yield
10 12 14 16
Stocks are attractively valued relative to bonds
0 2 4 6 8
>300 bps
1958
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
Source: FactSet, Federal Reserve, and S&P, as of 09/30/17.
Page 25
Not All Sectors Are Expensive Valuation
• Growth-oriented sectors are reasonably valued compared to history, particularly given low levels of interest rates—in contrast to many other sectors
31%
Reasonably Valued
21%
14% 14% 13%
8%
7%
1%
-1%
P/E Relative to 20-Year Median
Real Estate
Utilities
Materials
Financials
Industrials
Cons Disc
Technology
Health Care
Cons Staples
Source: FactSet, based on S&P 500 Index, 9/30/17. Note: energy and telecom are excluded; the former because of an extremely high P/E due to depressed earnings and the latter owing to a small number of constituents. Real estate is a new sector classification, so for the historical data shown above, an industry group category that has approximately 16 years of data was utilized.
Page 26
Growth Valuations Are Reasonable Valuation
• Despite their recent outperformance, Growth stocks remain attractively valued compared to Value stocks, relative to history and their respective growth rates
Russell 1000 Growth vs. Russell 1000 Value PEG Ratio (P/E Divided by Long-Term Growth Rate)
Russell 1000 Growth vs. Russell 1000 Value P/E
30% premium is low relative to history
1.7x
1.4x
Russell 1000 Value
Russell 1000 Growth
Source: FactSet, Bank of America as of 09/30/2017.
Page 27
Valuation The Single Greatest Predictor of Future Stock Market Returns
• There is a strong relationship between starting valuation and ensuing 10-year returns • Current valuations suggest equities should materially outperform bonds over the coming decade (mid-single digit vs. low-single digit annualized returns) owing to the low interest rate environment
S&P 500 P/E vs. 10-Year Returns
Russell 1000 Growth vs. 10-Year Returns
= month = current
Tech bubble
10% 15% 20% 25%
10% 15% 20% 25%
R² = 0.79 (0.85 ex-tech bubble)
R² = 0.85
0% 5%
0% 5%
-10% -5%
-10% -5%
5
10
15
20
25
30
5
10
15
20
25
S&P 500 10-Year Annualized Return
Russell 1000G 10-Year Annualized Return
Russell 1000 Growth Price/Earnings
S&P 500 Price/Earnings
Source: FactSet. Monthly data through September 2017 and beginning in January 1986 (S&P 500) and December 1978 (Russell 1000 Growth). The tech bubble, represented by the 10-year returns beginning in April 1987-March 1990 and ending in April 1997- March 2000, skewed the regression by resulting in higher returns for given valuations than the historical relationship would imply. Page 28
Addressing Interest Rate Risks—It’s Too Soon to Worry Valuation
• Potential Risk : higher bond yields lower equity valuations? • Potential Solution : favor equities over bonds given that increasing interest rates have supported higher P/E multiples at low absolute levels
S&P 500 NTM P/E vs. 10-Yr Treasury Note Yield 1964-2017
25
Higher Rates Rising P/E
Higher Rates Falling P/E
= Month
20
15
P/E
10
5
-
5
10
15
10-Year Yield
Source: RBC Capital Markets and FactSet. Data is through September, 2017.
Page 29
Disclosure The views expressed are the views of Fred Alger Management, Inc. as of September 2017. Alger has used sources of information which it believes to be reliable; however, this publication is not intended to be and does not constitute investment advice. These views are subject to change at any time and they do not guarantee the future performance of the markets, any security, or any funds managed by Fred Alger Management, Inc. These views should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell securities. Individual securities or industries/sectors mentioned, if any, should be considered in the context of an overall portfolio and therefore reference to them should not be construed as a recommendation or offer to purchase or sell securities. References to or implications regarding the performance of an individual security or group of securities are not intended as an indication of the characteristics or performance of any specific sector, industry, security, group of securities, or a portfolio and are for illustrative purposes only. Risk Disclosures : Investing in the stock market involves gains and losses and may not be suitable for all investors. Growth stocks tend to be more volatile than other stocks as the prices of growth stocks tend to be higher in relation to their companies’ earnings and may be more sensitive to market, political and economic developments. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard to company size. The Russell 1000® Growth Index is an unmanaged index designed to measure the performance of the largest 1000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell 1000 Value Index measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell 2000 Growth Index is an unmanaged index generally representative of common stocks designed to track performance of small-capitalization companies with greater than average growth orientation. The Russell 2000 Value Index is an unmanaged index generally representative of the small-cap value segment of the U.S. equity universe and measures the performance of Russell 2000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell 3000® Growth Index is an unmanaged index designed to measure the performance of those Russell 3000® Index companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell 3000 Value Index is an unmanaged index generally representative of stocks from the Russell 3000 Index with lower price-to-book ratios and lower expected growth rates. The MSCI ACWI Index (gross) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed and emerging markets. The MSCI ACWI consists of 45 country indices comprising 24 developed and 21 emerging market country indices. The indices presented are provided for illustrative purposes, reflect the reinvestment of dividends and do not assess fees and expenses that would have the effect of reducing returns. Investors cannot invest directly in any index. The index performance does not represent the returns of any portfolio advised by Fred Alger Management, Inc. and actual client results might differ materially than the indices shown. Note that past performance is no guarantee of future results. Comparison to a different index might have materially different results than those shown. Frank Russell Company (“Russell”) is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. Russell ® is a trademark of Frank Russell Company. Neither Russell nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the Russell Indexes and / or Russell ratings or underlying data and no party may rely on any Russell Indexes and / or Russell ratings and / or underlying data contained in this communication. No further distribution of Russell Data is permitted without Russell’s express written consent. Russell does not promote, sponsor or endorse the content of this communication.
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