Capital Markets: Observations & Insights
Performance
Has Active Relative Performance Troughed?
• While there are secular pressures affecting U.S. active management, cyclical factors tend to be much more powerful in the short term, such as ‒ interest rates/bond-like equities ‒ small cap performance
‒ overall market performance ‒ non-U.S. stock performance
Active Relative Performance Is Cyclical
54% of large cap managers have outperformed their style benchmark year-to-date
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
% of Fund Assets Outperforming
0%
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
Source: Nomura/Instinet, Joseph Mezrich and FactSet through 9/30/17. Fund performance is trailing 5-year data. Year-to-date active performance from Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
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