Capital Markets: Observations & Insights
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Capital Markets: Observations & Insights
1
Introduction Letter
2
Key Observations
3
Productivity Pick-Up
4
Productivity Drives Potential GDP
4
Productivity Growth Dependent on Business Spending
5
Recipe for an Increase in Business Spending
6
Higher Investment to Lead to Higher Productivity
7
Performance
8
Sector Disparities
8
Scale Rewarded
9
Prices and Fundamentals Converge
10
The Earnings Growth Resurgence Is Boosting Performance
11
Bull Market Is Aging Well
12
Has Active Relative Performance Troughed?
13
Small Caps Due for a Comeback
14
Structural Issues Driving Growth vs. Value
15
Fundamentals
16
Leading Cycle Indicators Are Bening
16
Fed Tightening Unlikely to Derail Equities Yet
17
Leading Indicators Suggest Earnings Will Continue to Rise
18
Economic Outlook
19
Smaller Capitalization Stocks Poised to Outperform
20
Innovative Companies Grow Earnings and Stock Prices Faster
21
Speed of Innovation Is Accelerating
22
The Growth Advantage
23
Valuation
24
The Great Rotation
24
Not All Sectors Are Expensive
25
Growth Valuations Are Reasonable
26
The Single Greatest Predictor of Future Stock Market Returns
27
Addressing Interest Rate Risks
28
Disclosure
29
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