Capital Markets: Observations & Insights
Smaller Capitalization Stocks Poised to Outperform Fundamentals
• Stronger fundamentals : Estimated small cap EPS growth for 2018 more than double large cap
• More levered to fiscal stimulus : Small caps are more U.S.-oriented and have higher operating leverage • Rising interest rates : Small caps have historically outperformed large caps in rising rate environments and vice versa in falling rate environments
• Attractive valuation : Small cap sales multiple discount implies opportunity
Earnings Per Share
Enterprise Value/Sales Russell 2000 / Russell 1000
0%
R2000
R1000
-5%
170
Historically Large Discount
-10%
160
Small Caps Growing Faster
-15%
150
-20%
140
-25%
130
-30%
120
-35%
110 EPS Indexed to 100
-40%
100
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2017
2018
2019
Source: FactSet as of December 2017. EPS for 2017-2019 are consensus estimates and actual earnings per share might be materially different than shown.
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