Capital Markets Spring 2020
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Smaller Capitalization Stocks Look Attractive Valuation
• Underperformance has compressed small cap valuations as compared to history
• Small caps underperformed YTD (through 3/31/20) but have historically outperformed by ~1,400 bps in the 12 months following the trough of a recession*
I
II
Price-to-Earnings Russell 2000 / Russell 1000
Small Caps Have Outperformed in Recoveries Performance One Year After Recession Trough
100% 120% 140% 160%
38%
III
Large Caps More Attractive
24%
IV
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Median
Small Caps More Attractive
V
S&P 500
Russell 2000
1994
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2012
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2016
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2020
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Source: FactSet. P/E is price divided by earnings per share over last 12-months. *Based on S&P 500 vs. Russell 2000 performance after stock market troughs during the past three recessions: 12 months following 10/31/90, 9/30/01, 2/28/09, respectively. The performance data quoted represents past performance, which is not an indication or a guarantee of future results.
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