Capital Markets Summer 2022: Revealing Recession Patterns
I
Some Trends Are Larger Than Recession Revealing Recession Patterns
• Digital transformation is an enterprise imperative, in our view
I
‒ To keep up, companies must spend on areas like software which may make related end-markets recession resistant
II
Worldwide Digital Transformation Spending
Growth Through The Pandemic
GDP Software Recession
3.0
30%
16% Annual Growth
III
2.5
25%
20%
2.0
15%
1.5
10%
IV
5%
1.0
0%
Trillions ($)
0.5
-5%
V
Cumulative Growth
0.0
-10%
-15%
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021E
2022E
2023E
2024E
2025E
Source: IDC, November 2021, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, NBER.
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